Betting on NFL games is easy, but winning on those NFL bets is another issue all together. I have noticed some websites that claim they use NFL totals to win big. At first, I wanted to see if these lofty claims that only betting on NFL totals is the way to go is valid. I know many people who only bet on NFL totals and never pick a side. I also know many people who are habitual losers doing just that.
In order to present any real evidence that betting on totals in NFL games can give a sports bettor an edge, I examined the NFL totals for the last 15 years of play and this is what I found.
There is simply no betting edge when it comes to betting on totals in the NFL. The best edge I was able to capitalize on in my testing was a road team that plays on grass normally which travels to an artificial turf team. But, that road team has to be the favorite in the game, and the results only had under 30 situations that occurred in the past 15 years. Although the win rate was a nice 58.8% edge, the testing was far to small to prove reliable to bet on.
One other edge I noticed in my testing had an over 60% winning rate, but it involved the actual temperature of the NFL games at time of kickoff. I was able to decipher that going "Over" the total of an NFL game if a few things line up awarded bettors big time. It is a simple formula that you can get by visiting my website at link below.
As you can see there is potential for some scenarios too take advantage of, but overall, betting NFL totals are very useless when it comes to finding a legitimate edge that works. There are tons of ways to find an edge in most lines that the odds-maker post when it comes to picking a team, but from my testing NFL totals, I was unable to find a betting edge that stood the test of time. More importantly, most of the testing results were not able to sustain a 50% winning edge, and that my friends will crush your bank quickly.
Outside of a few rare scenarios when it comes to betting totals, do yourself and more importantly your bank a huge favor, and stick to betting on NFL sides only.
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